The ongoing discussion surrounding the Ballon d’Or nominations this year reflects a critical shift in focus from individual accolades to club performance metrics. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) players previously dominated the predictions leading up to this year’s ceremony. However, recent events, including a significant defeat in the Club World Cup, raise questions about how this defeat might sway voter sentiment. With little in the way of major international competitions beyond the CONCACAF Gold Cup, many expect this year’s voting to weigh heavily on club-level achievements.
It is essential to note that the voting criteria have been adjusted. This year, the Ballon d’Or will be awarded based on performances over the entire 2024-25 football season rather than the traditional calendar year. While the ceremony is scheduled for September 22, the results will encapsulate a broader scope, allowing players more time to showcase their talents before the final selections are made.
In our latest Power Rankings, several players are highlighted for their contributions throughout the season. Starting with Kylian Mbappé from Real Madrid, despite finishing with an impressive 42 goals across all competitions, the team faltered in both the La Liga and the UEFA Champions League. This lack of silverware puts him at a disadvantage compared to other players, especially given France’s underwhelming result in the UEFA Nations League, losing to Spain in the semi-finals, and a significant defeat at the hands of PSG in the Club World Cup stage.
Next on the list, Gianluigi Donnarumma of PSG faces a historical drought for goalkeepers in winning the prestigious Ballon d’Or since Lev Yashin in 1963. Although his performances were strong, the recent disheartening outcome of the Club World Cup will likely diminish his chances of securing the award, as the criteria for selection emphasize not just talent, but significant moments within the season contributing to individual and team prestige.
At number eight, Mohamed Salah of Liverpool presents an interesting case. Initially, there appeared to be a strong possibility for him to vie for the Ballon d’Or, particularly following a successful Premier League campaign. However, an early exit from the Champions League dimmed his prospects and affected his overall form, which ultimately resulted in not matching any historical records from Liverpool’s legends.
Achraf Hakimi, presently ranked seventh on our list, had a noteworthy campaign, showcasing impressive statistics that included nine goals and 12 assists. His dynamic style of play may not align with voter tendencies toward full-backs, particularly after PSG’s failed attempt in the Club World Cup. The interaction of his merit with such adverse outcomes casts doubt on his potential for acknowledgment.
Following Hakimi, Nuno Mendes also from PSG demonstrated excellent contributions but faced similar hurdles regarding voter perception of a full-back’s value in securing the Ballon d’Or. Mendes’ capabilities were pivotal, particularly in UEFA Nations League action, yet the negative implications stemming from the Club World Cup final could overshadow his accomplishments.
The rise of Raphinha from Barcelona has been quite remarkable, showcasing 34 goals and 22 assists. However, when assessing impactful moments, one questions whether his contributions will resonate enough within the voting community, especially with other players having standout performances under pressure.
The rankings further escalate with Ousmane Dembélé, whose offensive stats put him firmly in the spotlight among PSG’s contingent. Yet, like several of his teammates, he faces challenges owing to France’s semi-final exit from the Nations League.
It’s worth noting the extraordinary rise of Cole Palmer from Chelsea, who, virtually a newcomer on this list, displayed astounding performances during critical matchups against PSG. His reflective position on this ranking underscores the significance of impactful moments, making it a compelling narrative for voters when considering the Ballon d’Or.
In the condensed ranking, the outstanding performance of Vitinha representing PSG marks him as a key contender for recognition. His vital presence throughout the season culminated in a fantastic contribution to PSG as well as a triumphant moment with the Portuguese national team during the UEFA Nations League.
Lastly, at the pinnacle of this ranking, is Lamine Yamal from Barcelona. His youth belies a combination of performance, resulting in a total of 39 goal contributions across competitions. Despite challenges in major tournaments, his achievements in La Liga and the Copa del Rey, complemented by personal milestones, elevate his status.
In conclusion, as the season progresses and the ceremony approaches in September, the narratives regarding each player will continue to evolve, shaping the expectations for the prestigious award. The emphasis on club performances, particularly in the context of recent disappointments, will certainly create an intriguing backdrop for the ultimate outcomes of the Ballon d’Or voting.