In a recent interview with Sky News, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky put forth a thought-provoking proposition regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. He suggested that the territories of Ukraine currently under his government’s control could potentially be safeguarded by NATO, asserting that such an arrangement might help put an end to the current “hot phase” of the war. This proposal has sparked debate and offers a glimpse into the complexities of the ongoing geopolitical crisis.
Zelensky’s assertion came in response to a question about whether he would consider accepting NATO membership under the condition that it only applied to the regions of Ukraine that Kyiv presently governs. His reply was conditional—asserting that he would be open to such an idea only if NATO first extended membership to all of Ukraine, adhering to its internationally recognized borders. By doing so, Zelensky believes that Ukraine would be in a better position to negotiate the return of territories currently held by Russia through diplomatic channels.
However, it is important to note that this suggestion is largely theoretical at this stage. Zelensky is not introducing new proposals but rather signaling thoughts that may influence future discussions. The likelihood of NATO entertaining such a proposition is questionable at best. Zelensky pointed out that Ukraine has yet to receive any formal offers regarding this type of NATO membership. He articulated that a partial invitation would imply recognition of the territories occupied by Russia as separate from Ukraine, a notion he firmly opposes.
In his statements, Zelensky expressed concerns regarding ceasefires. He indicated that, without robust mechanisms to prevent further Russian aggression, proposals for ceasefires could be perilous. He underscored that NATO membership holds the potential to offer the kind of security guarantees necessary to deter Russia from resuming hostilities. Zelensky is optimistic about a potential resolution to the ongoing conflict within the next year if Ukraine’s allies demonstrate sincerity and commitment.
Reports have circulated suggesting that discussions regarding the “West German model”—whereby NATO membership is offered to a bifurcated nation—have been underway in Western political circles for over a year now. Yet, no formal proposals have materialized to date. In parallel, Zelensky has expressed his eagerness to engage with incoming U.S. President Donald Trump’s plans for a resolution. This eagerness included an affirmation of his intention to discuss ideas directly with Trump and his appointed aides, including retired General Keith Kellogg, who has previously proposed plans involving the freezing of frontline advancements and encouraging both Ukraine and Russia to partake in negotiations.
Under proposed frameworks, future military aid from the U.S. to Ukraine would hinge upon Kyiv’s readiness to enter peace discussions, with the assurance of continued U.S. support to fortify Ukraine against any future Russian incursions post-ceasefire or peace agreements. Such proposals speculate on delaying Ukraine’s NATO membership for an extended timeframe, raising crucial questions about the security guarantees that the new U.S. administration would be able to provide.
Zelensky firmly believes that genuine independence for Ukraine hinges on NATO membership, presenting a stark judgment on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s intentions. He stressed that without NATO, Russia would likely revert to its ambitions of undermining Ukraine’s sovereignty. The disparities between Zelensky’s vision for peace and emerging U.S. policies indicate significant obstacles ahead. Although Zelensky is attempting to project a willingness to compromise, especially with potentially painful territorial sacrifices, the absence of similar overtures from Moscow makes the outlook increasingly complex.
Since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent escalations, the realm of international diplomacy surrounding Ukraine continues to evolve. As of now, President Putin has shown no signs of relinquishing his aspirations for geopolitical dominion over Ukraine. Consequently, the prospect of parts of Ukraine gaining NATO membership appears to be a remote possibility, with persistent skepticism surrounding NATO’s involvement in any capacity. The developments continue to unfold, with both immediate and long-term implications for Ukraine, its allies, and international relations at large.
